Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Capital Power (TSE:CPX)
Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Capital Power Corporation's (TSE:CPX) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
Check out our latest analysis for Capital Power
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Capital Power increased the number of shares on issue by 11% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. You can see a chart of Capital Power's EPS by clicking here.
How Is Dilution Impacting Capital Power's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
Capital Power has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 242% in that time. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 200% over the same period. And the 122% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 113% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Capital Power can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Capital Power's Profit Performance
Capital Power shareholders should keep in mind how many new shares it is issuing, because, dilution clearly has the power to severely impact shareholder returns. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Capital Power's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Capital Power (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Capital Power's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.