Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPW): Among the Best REIT Stocks To Buy Under $10

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We recently compiled a list of the 11 Best REIT Stocks To Buy Under $10. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (NYSE:MPW) stands against the other Best REIT Stocks To Buy Under $10.

The Recent Fed Rate Cut: A Relief for REITs?

The Federal Reserve finally decided to cut rates beginning with a half-percentage point reduction on September 18. Ahead of this major rate cut, real estate investment trusts rebounded from July through mid-September. As reported by The National Association of Real Estate Investment Trusts (Nareit), rate easing cycles are really supportive for the REIT sector. Matthew Sgrizzi, chief investment officer of LaSalle Global Solutions, mentioned the change in the Fed’s policy supporting a positive stance for real estate. However, real estate investment trusts have a long way to go as it could be a multi-year catch-up for them relative to broader equities.

The head of listed real estate at Cohen & Steers, Jason Yablon, considers the recovery of listed real estate investment trusts quicker as compared to the private real estate market. REITs have been a major victim of the high interest rates. As interest rates increased and property values corrected, investors pulled back from real estate investment trusts.

Thus, REITs witnessed their earnings multiple de-rate more than any other equity sector amidst the recent Fed hiking cycle. Hence, it is reasonable to expect a reverse trend with real estate investment trusts outperforming other equity sectors as the rates fall, in the opinion of the portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors, Greg Kuhl.

The historical behavior of real estate investment trusts is also important to consider in this regard. With a decline in 10-year Treasury yields, REIT total returns typically start to rise. This indirect relationship between the movements in 10-year Treasury yields and REITs’ performance can be noticed, starting in 2022.

Positive Prospects for Mortgage REITs

Mortgage REITs have underperformed the broader stock market over the past two years of the Fed’s high interest rates. Nareit has also revealed that the outlook for the mortgage REIT sector is especially positive. According to Steve DeLaney at Citizens JMP, the sector to experience the most significant positive impact is the commercial mortgage REIT segment where higher NOI capitalization rates have reduced real estate property valuations and higher rates have led to increased cost of carry for borrowers with floating-rate bridge loans. A combination of factors such as improved sector valuation, less pressure on book value, and relief on portfolio stress factors including interest rate caps on floating rate loans are to benefit the commercial mortgage REITs with the falling interest rates.