Meritage Homes Corporation MTH reported third-quarter 2024 results, wherein earnings and total closing revenues topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate but declined year over year. This is the seventh consecutive quarter of earnings and revenues beat.
Shares of this Scottsdale, AZ-based homebuilder lost 0.6% in the after-hour trading session on Oct. 29.
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Meritage Homes’ third-quarter results highlight a strategic shift to affordable, quick-turn homes, driving $1.6 billion in revenues and record closing volume. The company reported a 145% backlog conversion and a 17.2% return on equity. Capital allocation focused on growth with $659.4 million in land investments, 7,800 new lots, and $57.1 million returned to shareholders.
Earnings & Revenue Discussion
Earnings per share (EPS) of $5.34 topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.7%. The reported figure decreased 11% from the year-ago quarter’s reported EPS of $5.98.
Total revenues (including Total Closing revenues and Financial Services revenues) amounted to $1.6 billion, down 1.4% from $1.62 billion reported in the year-ago period.
Meritage Homes Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Meritage Homes Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Meritage Homes Corporation Quote
Segment Discussion
Total Closing Revenues: Total closing revenues were $1.588 billion, which declined 2% from the prior-year quarter’s level but topped the consensus mark of $1.57 billion by 0.7%.
Under the Homebuilding umbrella, home closing revenues of $1.586 billion declined 2% from the prior-year quarter’s level due to a lower average sales price (ASP). Land closing revenues also dipped 4% to $2.7 billion from a year ago.
Meritage Homes reported 3,942 units of homes closed, up 8% from the year-ago quarter. The ASP of homes closing declined 9% from a year ago to $402,000 due to product and geographic mix. Our model’s estimate for the metric was 3,755 units for an ASP of $413,270.
Total home orders inched up 1% from the prior year to 3,512 homes. In dollars, home orders decreased 5% year over year to $1.43 billion. A 6% lower ASP of $406,000 due to both geographic and product mix shifts impacted growth to some extent. We estimated home orders to be up 17.9% year over year. The average absorption pace was 4.1 per month in the quarter, the same as last year. Ending community count was 278, up 2.2% year over year but 3.1% sequentially.
Entry-level buyers represented 92% of sales orders compared with 88% in the year-ago period.
The quarter-end backlog totaled 2,284 units, down 37% year over year. The value of the backlog also decreased 40% year over year to $931.7 million.
Adjusted home closing gross margin contracted 190 basis points (bps) to 24.8%. This decline was driven by increased lot costs, higher use of financing incentives, and reduced leverage on fixed costs due to lower home closing revenue. However, the impact was partially offset by cost-saving measures and faster construction cycle times.
Selling, general and administrative expenses — as a percentage of home closing revenues — improved 20 bps from the prior-year quarter to 9.9% owing to lower performance-based compensation costs.
Financial Services: The segment’s revenues rose 32% from the prior-year quarter’s level to $8.1 million.
Balance Sheet
At the end of the third quarter, cash and cash equivalents totaled $831.6 million, down from $921.2 million reported on Dec. 31, 2023. As of Sept. 30, 2024, approximately 74,800 lots were owned or controlled by the company compared with about 60,700 lots a year ago.
Total debt to capital was 20.7% compared with 17.9% in 2023-end. Net debt to capital was 8.8% compared with 1.9% on Dec. 31, 2023.
For the first nine months of 2024, net cash used by operating activities was $128 million against $460.1 million of net cash provided by operating activities a year ago.
During the quarter, Meritage Homes paid quarterly cash dividends of 75 cents per share, totaling $27.1 million to its shareholders. It brought back 151,220 shares for $30 million. As of Sept. 30, 2024, $99.1 million in shares remained under the authorized share repurchase program.
Q4 2024 Guidance
Meritage Homes expects 3,750-3,950 closings for the year compared with 3,951 closings in the year-ago period. The closings are now likely to generate revenues between $1.5 billion and $1.59 billion, which is down from $1.64 billion reported a year ago.
Home closing gross margin is expected to be in the 22.5-23.5% range compared with 25.2% a year ago.
EPS is now expected to be between $4.10 and $4.60, down from $5.38 reported a year ago.
The company still expects an effective tax rate of approximately 22.5%.
Zacks Rank & Peer Releases
Meritage Homes currently has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.
D.R. Horton, Inc. DHI reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 (ended Sept. 30, 2024) results, with earnings and revenues missing Zacks Consensus Estimate and decreasing on a year-over-year basis.
D.R. Horton’s quarterly performance fell short of expectations primarily due to a combination of high mortgage rates and buyer hesitancy. DHI expects consolidated revenues in the range of $36-$37.5 billion (below the consensus mark of $39.5 billion) compared with $36.8 billion in fiscal 2023. Homes closed are anticipated within 90,000-92,000 units. The income tax rate is expected to be 24.5%.
PulteGroup Inc. PHM reported impressive results in the third quarter of 2024, wherein earnings and total revenues handily beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate and grew year over year.
PHM’s result reflects the successful execution of the company’s balanced spec and build-to-order operating model. This, alongside the structural shortage of homes from years of underbuilding, continued to favor the company. Thanks to such tailwinds, the home closings during the quarter grew year over year resulting in record third-quarter home sale revenues.
NVR, Inc. NVR reported mixed third-quarter 2024 results, with earnings missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate and Homebuilding revenues surpassing the same. On the other hand, both metrics increased on a year-over-year basis.
This upside was backed by improved demand trends, which resulted in higher settlements. Although the cancelation rate increased in the quarter, growth in new orders is encouraging for the company.
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