Q4 2024 SelectQuote Inc Earnings Call

In This Article:

Participants

Matthew Gunter; Chief Experience Officer; SelectQuote Inc

Timothy Danker; Chief Executive Officer, Director; SelectQuote Inc

Ryan Clement; Chief Financial Officer; SelectQuote Inc

Robert Grant; President; SelectQuote Inc

William Grant; Chief Operating Officer; SelectQuote Inc

Ben Hendrix; Analyst; RBC Capital Markets

Pat McCann; Analyst; NOBLE Capital Markets

Presentation

Operator

Hello and welcome to SelectQuotes fourth quarter earnings conference call. (Operator Instructions) It is now my pleasure to introduce Matt Gunter, SelecQuote, Investor Relations. Mr. Gunter, you may begin the conference.

Matthew Gunter

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Welcome to SelectQuote Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 earnings call. Before we begin our call, I would like to mention that on our website, we have provided a slide presentation to help guide our discussion. After today's call, a replay will also be available on our website.
Joining me from the company, I have our Chief Executive Officer Tim Danker; and Chief Financial Officer, Ryan Clement. Following Tim and Ryan's comments today, we will have a question-and-answer session. As referenced on slide 2. During this call, we will be discussing some non-GAAP financial measures. The most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation of the differences between the GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures are available in our earnings release and investor presentation on our website.
And finally, a reminder that certain statements made today may be forward-looking statements. These statements are made based on management's current expectations and beliefs concerning future events impacting the company and therefore involve a number of uncertainties and risks, including but not limited to those described in our earnings release, annual report on Form 10-K for the period ended June 30, 2024, and other filings with the SEC.
Therefore, the actual results of operations or financial conditions of the company could differ materially from those expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements.
And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Tim Danker. Tim?

Timothy Danker

Thanks, Matt, and thank you all for joining us today. Before diving into the results, let me start with a few high-level takeaways. SelectQuote had a highly successful fiscal 2024 across each facet of our business. Our Senior Medicare Advantage business performed well, driven by strong operational execution, which resulted in high margins.
Our healthcare services segment continued to see growth in scale, highlighted by our SelectRx prescription drug business. Overall, we continue to produce results that reaffirm our strategic goal to prioritize unit profitability and cash efficiency. The fourth quarter marks the 10th consecutive quarter outperforming our internal expectations, and we are ever more confident in SelectQuote value within a very large US health care ecosystem.
I'll share more in a moment, but it's worth noting that we are continuing to make meaningful progress on our capital structure. We recently signed a nonbinding letter of intent with certain of our term lenders to complete an initial securitization of around $100 million. Provided the deal closes, we think this transaction will represent a critical first phase and ultimately achieving a more appropriate capital structure for SelectQuote.
Perhaps most importantly, the proposed transaction would include an extension of our term debt maturity to the fall of 2027, which would provide us the runway we need to achieve our long-term objectives. We've made significant progress over the last 2.5 years since undertaking our strategic redesign. But to give context to our capital structure, SelectQuote is still not as strong as we believe it can be.
To be clear SelectQuote has ample liquidity, but in 2025, our growth will be tempered for two reasons. The first is the later than expected timing of our initial securitization and the second is a change in commission structure with one of our larger carrier partners for the upcoming Medicare Advantage season. I'll elaborate on both in a minute.
Overall, I'd like to emphasize that our growth in 2025 would be significantly higher with a more flexible capital structure. And fact, we've never been more optimistic about the future given our strong underlying performance in both senior and health care services. The strong fundamentals in these businesses remain unchanged and it is our priority to improve liquidity and deleverage so we can capitalize on the large opportunity that we know is ours to win.
SelectQuote is a leading broker of value-added information and service connectivity for America's seniors. As a critical conduit and enabler of choice for Americans and the insurers and health care providers that serve them, our ability to create profit and cash flow for our shareholders continues to increase. Best of all, we are adding value with increasingly diversified services and with less seasonal volatility in results. The constant in all of this is that when our customers do well, we do well and we believe our shareholders will be rewarded.
With that, let me begin with a review of our fiscal year. First. As I mentioned, we have outperformed our guided forecast in each of the past two years. This has been driven by both our Medicare Advantage distribution business and health care services, highlighted by the success of SelectRx.
Looking at fiscal '24, our actual results significantly outperformed the original outlook we set this time last year. We outperformed the midpoint of our initial revenue expectation by more than 17%, and more importantly, beat our adjusted EBITDA target by over 26%. Ryan will go into more detail, but what's more impressive about fiscal '24 was that we achieved the majority of the revenue beat in health care services.
But our EBITDA outperformance was driven both by our senior segment and the ramping profitability in SelectRx. Best of all, our outperformance in senior was comped against the fiscal '23 that was tremendously strong for us. This again validates our strategic shift to focus on EBITDA and cash flow over volume. Specifically in Senior, we grew overall MA policies by 8% in fiscal '24, which also marks outperformance versus our original outlook for a 10% to 15% decline in policy production.
The better than expected. Results were again driven primarily by improved efficiency in our model. The senior business generated strong EBITDA margins of 25%, which compares to 26% margins in fiscal '23. Our close rates were impressive as our strategy to focus on the best leads and direct them to tenured agents continues to be successful.
Additionally, we continue to see strong policyholder retention as evidenced by higher year-over-year LTVs and health care services the business continued to exhibit momentum as we ended the year with 82,000 members. This was up 68% year over year and well ahead of our original guided expectation to grow around 25%.
If we turn to page, let me review the key performance indicators for our Senior Medicare Advantage business. As I noted, our strategy to produce consistent returns with a focus on cash efficiency was again successful in fiscal 2024. As you can see in the charts at left and in the middle 2024 experienced modestly higher expenses from a policy driven by the implementation of the new CMS marketing standards.
Despite these increased costs but quote has maintained stable and strong senior EBITDA production per policy, which was essentially flat year over year when compared to fiscal '23. This was driven by increased LTVs, strong policy, close rates and overall agent productivity. Put simply our focus on core tenured agents and the most profitable lead sourcing continues to be successful.
Lastly, we continue to drive more revenue per dollar of customer acquisition with our rev to CAC ratio increasing to 4.5x. As we've said, the synergy of our healthcare services segment is driving these returns, which is core to our strategy to leverage our position as a value conduit within the broader health care ecosystem.
What is less apparent is that this improved efficiency was also driven by strong LTVs, which demonstrates stability in policyholder persistency, LTV can be a function of benefit trends, but we believe lead targeting paired with our personalized agent lead service is a differentiator for SelectQuote in every MA season. That said, we do expect the upcoming season to potentially see an uptick in policyholder shopping.
As you have seen from insurance carrier commentary, there are shifts expected in benefit design the season. As you know, this is not uncommon in any given Medicare Advantage season and SelectQuote true choice model becomes even more important to consumers when policy features are in flux.
Flipping ahead. Let's look at our short but highly successful history in healthcare services, highlighted by SelectRx. As we've noted, 2024 was a milestone year for the scale of SelectRx. Members have grown rapidly and continue to mature, which drives top line revenue. We are now seeing those recurring revenues, lab onboarding costs, which will continue to contribute to our profitability.
Specifically our full year revenue for health care services grew nearly 90% to $479 million, underpinned by a membership of 82,000. Our EBITDA ended 2024 at $8 million, which is an impressive turnaround from the $23 million drag experienced in fiscal '23. Best of all the business is highly cash efficient with a payback on customer acquisition costs of less than six months.
Looking ahead, we see SelectRx and broader health care services as an increasingly self-funded business, given how critical Medication Delivery is to the customer. This high value added services built around convenience for our members, which supports better medication adherence outcomes, a win for customers and carriers alike.
Turning to the next page. Now let me expand on our strategy to improve SelectQuote's capitalization. As I noted before, we agreed to another short term extension on our term debt. More importantly, we recently signed a non-binding letter of intent related to a first securitization with certain of our term lenders and are working through definitive agreements.
We see the proposed approximately $100 million transaction as an important first step on the on-ramp to future securitizations and a reduction of our term debt. Provided this deal closes. We expect this initial securitization to improve our cost of capital, establish the legal and operational infrastructure necessary to support future potential securitizations and enable the extension of our term debt maturity to fall of 2027 with staggered payments. This allows adequate runway to achieve future deleveraging. We currently expect the transaction to close in the coming weeks and look forward to sharing more details at that time.
Moving to the next page, I'd like to give context to our fiscal 2025 outlook. Let's start with the foundation of what we see as unchanged and Medicare Advantage landscape. First, MA demand remains a tailwind and the aging American population continues to grow. Second, policy persistency is stabilizing and has been less volatile, especially for leads and customers we actively target. This allows us to maintain our strong unit economics, which Ryan will detail later.
Third, the outlook for health care services remains strong and not just for SelectRx. Fourth, the attractive unit economics that have underpinned the senior business in recent quarters are unchanged, and we're confident in our ability to deliver target margins of 20%-plus.
As for recent commentary by carriers about Medicare Advantage and the re-evaluation of their benefit designs. Our view is twofold. First, the range and shape of coverage can and does change from year to year as it always has. Second and most importantly, the need and demand for tailored coverage from American seniors remains strong and is growing.
SelectQuote's importance to both seniors and our carrier partners as a true choice platform is only amplified as shifts in coverage occur from year to year. With that as a level set, let's shift to what is changing and speak about the specific carrier action that will impact our 2025 fiscal year. In the middle of our fourth quarter, a large carrier partner of ours shifted to an industry-wide ratable commission structure in fiscal 2025 compared to a structure that was more front-loaded in fiscal '24.
While the new deal structure remains economically attractive for the business, it does impact our cash flows ahead of the MA busy season prior to the shift, our initial planning was to partially fund 2025 AEP and OEP season volumes with these front-loaded commissions dollars. As a result, given the balance sheet limitations I noted, we expect our approved policy count in fiscal '25 to be about 10% to 15% lower than it was in fiscal '24.
To be clear, our expected growth in fiscal '25 is a reflection of the temporary capital constraints for SelectQuote and not the health of the Medicare Advantage industry. Provided we closed we expect this initial securitization, along with intended future deleveraging transactions will increasingly mitigate capital constraints.
The market remains highly attractive and without these capital constraints, we would have leaned and by hiring a larger class for this coming AEP and our policy growth expectations would have certainly been higher. Ultimately, the result of this change paired with business seasonality led us to choose to hire a smaller class for this coming AEP peak season.
While we confidently believe we could hire more, produce more and deliver compelling returns, it was important to manage our capital investment given current constraints. Ryan will speak more to our balance sheet strategy to improve both liquidity and our overall leverage.
Before that, let me speak to our platform and how we believe the diversification of our business and cash flows will dampen the seasonality in the future.
If we move to the next page, let me end my remarks with what we mean by SelectQuote's platform value and how we continue to leverage our information and connectivity advantages within healthcare.
To summarize, we know that SelectQuote has established a real right to win and multiple business lines within healthcare. Our significant data assets paired with tailored customer service from our agents has proven its value in an expanding number of ways through a growing number of market participants. As you know, we've built this platform since like what's inception building upon our Senior Medicare Advantage distribution business, which is a platform designed to best serve individual needs.
With the launch of the Healthcare Services segment in 2021, we began to identify meaningful market inefficiencies, both in how customers access care and how insurance companies and caregivers connect with those consumers and the scale, but tailored way. As healthcare becomes increasingly localized and focused on individual patient outcomes, we see additional services with large demand, but inefficient fit and delivery to the end customer.
Services that are inherently local like value-based care and chronic care management have been challenging for caregivers and insurers to access. For SelectQuote we are the natural enabler because we already capture and action critical data and are connected to each stakeholder point within the value chain. To bring it all together, we believe the health care services opportunity is important for shareholders, not simply for profit growth, but we believe our holistic platform strategy will transform and diversify SelectQuote's revenue and cash flow streams.
We already see that with SelectRx and as we launch new initiatives in the future. SelectQuote will benefit from multiple growth avenues with less seasonality and smoother cash flows. Similar to our strategic focus to prioritize stable profitability and cash efficiency. We believe this like what are the future can accomplish that an expanding range of large addressable markets, not glossing over our need to improve our capital structure, but we want to be clear that we are more confident in our profit and cash flow outlook now than we have ever been.
With that, let me turn the call over to Ryan to detail our financial results. Ryan?