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While US stocks (^DJI, ^IXIC, ^GSPC) stretch their rally into their fifth week, is the market taking taking growth risks or even economic hazards into consideration in this environment?
"I want everybody to realize that a slowing economy does not necessarily mean a recession, but where stocks are right now, if growth even slows to sort of flat or sub 1%, you could see a 10% drop in the S&P 500, and we wouldn't even be probably at fair value," Sevens Report Research founder and president Tom Essaye tells Seana Smith and Brad Smith on the Morning Brief.
"So look, things are good right now, but I do think the market is complacent to economic slowdown risks."
Essaye has been "advocating for focusing on quality and lowering volatility" through ETFs, and views geopolitical risks to be a chief concern at the moment.
"And then also there's going to be a lot of political uncertainty coming out of the election, because we're all going to be trying to game what policy changes are going to occur. All of these things can combine to sort of fracture this perfect window we're in in the markets," Essay explains. "All I'm trying to do is remind investors that, hey, there are risks out there and that... the stock market can go two directions as well."
To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief here.
This post was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.