In This Article:
Lowe's (LOW) second quarter adjusted earnings beat analyst estimates, but missed slightly on revenue. It follows results from Home Depot (HD) which narrowly beat estimates. What do these results show about the state of the housing market? Smead Capital Management CEO Cole Smead joins Yahoo Finance Live to discuss.
“Housing has been probably the most misunderstood part of the economy, looking back over the last 10 years,” Smead says. Smead notes that “tight supply… is causing housing to be strong,” which “no one thought we’d be where we’re at on housing.”
What has impacted Home Depot and Lowe’s “is as interest rates have increased, you just marginally cause people to look less to a home equity line, to revamp their home, and do things of that nature,” Smead explains. But “the one tailwind” that these retailers have is millennials owning homes, as they are “a huge customer base to those retailers,” Smead says. Companies like Home Depot and Lowe’s “have really good secular trends in their favor,” Smead notes.
Video Transcript
BRAD SMITH: What does this say about the broader housing market given that you've got two of the larger DIY plus some of those larger business to business contracts and purchasers that take place for both of these companies?
COLE SMEAD: Yeah. So we've owned Home Depot for years. We think housing has been probably the most misunderstood for the economy looking back over the last 10 years. No one thought we'd be where we're at on housing, where tight supply, even though affordability is terrible right now relative to last decade, is causing housing to be strong.
I think what Home Depot and Lowe's have had to deal with is as interest rates have increased, you just marginally cause people to look less to a home equity line to revamp their home and do things of that nature. That's a bigger component of their life versus just housing supply itself is really more to do with the home builders.
So I do think the one tailwind that Lowe's and Home Depot have and will continue to have for many years to come is we've busted one of the great myths of all time, which was that millennials were never going to buy houses. And now that they own them, that's such a huge customer base to those retailers. And that those DIY companies like Home Depot and Lowe's I think have really good secular trends in their favor.
JULIE HYMAN: At the same time, housing is getting less affordable, right, in part because of what's going on with interest rates in part. We're just not seeing much movement within the existing home sales market because people don't want to sell to pay those rates. So are we going to have a period of more stagnation that's going to continue?